Report for Model 12

— for both jointly and separately

2024-11-10

1. Joint Modeling

1.1 Trace plots for convergence check

The current MCMC setting is:

  • 4000000 iteration;
  • 3000000 burn-in;
  • 1000 thinning.

1.2 Gelman and Rubin’s convergence check

## Potential scale reduction factors:
## 
##         Point est. Upper C.I.
## HDevsum       1.00       1.00
## LDevsum       1.00       1.00
## dl0           1.23       1.77
## dl1           1.00       1.03
## dl2           1.19       1.64
## dl3           1.01       1.03
## 
## Multivariate psrf
## 
## 1.13

1.3 ACF Plots

Here we plotted ACF plots for the following variables:

  • Total deviance;
  • Variables that didn’t pass the convergence check.

1.4 WAIC results

LevelH LevelL
DIC 1131.80440 24103.905
DIC3 1105.53873 20818.282
PWAIC 21.20733 1097.116
WAIC 1115.95145 21277.362

2. Separate Modeling of High-Level

2.1 Trace plots for convergence check

The current MCMC setting is:

  • 4000000 iteration;
  • 3000000 burn-in;
  • 1000 thinning.

2.2 Gelman and Rubin’s convergence check

## Potential scale reduction factors:
## 
##      Point est. Upper C.I.
## [1,]          1          1

2.3 ACF Plots

Here we plotted ACF plots for the following variables:

  • Total deviance;
  • Variables that didn’t pass the convergence check.

2.4 WAIC results

H0
DIC 1131.80440
DIC3 1105.53873
PWAIC 21.20733
WAIC 1115.95145

3. Separate Modeling for Low-level

3.1 Trace plots for convergence check

The current MCMC setting is:

  • 4000000 iteration;
  • 3000000 burn-in;
  • 1000 thinning.

3.2 Gelman and Rubin’s convergence check

## Potential scale reduction factors:
## 
##         Point est. Upper C.I.
## LDevsum       1.00       1.00
## dl0           1.23       1.77
## dl1           1.00       1.03
## dl2           1.19       1.64
## dl3           1.01       1.03
## 
## Multivariate psrf
## 
## 1.13

3.3 ACF Plots

Here we plotted ACF plots for the following variables:

  • Total deviance;
  • Variables that didn’t pass the convergence check.

3.4 WAIC results

L7
DIC 24103.905
DIC3 20818.282
PWAIC 1097.116
WAIC 21277.362